Yearly Archives: 2014

2015 World Junior Prediction Update – December 27th

Updated Predictions Day 1 of the World Juniors is in the books and while there weren’t any upsets, two medal favourites nearly stumbled out of the gate with both Russia and the US needing the shoot-out to get past Denmark

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Posted in Predictions, Uncategorized, World Juniors

2015 World Junior Predictions

It’s finally here, the most important day of the year in Canada, World Junior Hockey Day! While the tournament may not have the same appeal in other areas of the World (or any appeal, in some cases), for Canadians the

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Posted in Predictions, World Juniors

How much skill exists in on-ice shooting percentages?

Earlier today, Phil Birnbaum posted a piece offering further arguments in favour of his view that shot quality exists and is a legitimate strategy choice for teams.  For those of you unfamiliar with Phil’s work, he’s long been a proponent

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Posted in Shooting Percentage

Score Adjusted Weighted Shots

Last week, Tom Tango, Sabermetrician extraordinaire for the Chicago Cubs (and one of the original hockey analysts to, you know, actually make money doing this thing), posted an article on his site proposing a new metric to better weight the

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Posted in Statistics

Are the Buffalo Sabres worse than an AHL team?

The Buffalo Sabres are not a good hockey team. This is not news to anyone. At 6-13-2 the Sabres sit last in the Atlantic Division by 6 points, and are tied with the Carolina Hurricanes and Edmonton Oilers for least

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Posted in Theoretical

Shot Location Data and Strategy II: Evaluating Individual Defensive Play

This is the second post in a (likely) 3 part series going through the data/methods/results which I presented at the Pittsburgh Hockey Analytics Workshop. Part I, which covers whether defencemen play worse on their off-hand, is available here. If you’re

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Posted in Defence, Statistics

Shot Location Data and Strategy I: Off-Hand Defencemen

This is the first post in a (likely) 3 part series going through the data/methods/results which I presented at the Pittsburgh Hockey Analytics Workshop. If you’re interested in seeing the slides or hearing the presentation (or the other presentations, which

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Posted in Defence, Team Strategy