Over my last few posts I’ve been looking into the idea of game level goaltending performances and adjusting goalie evaluation metrics to account for the number of shots against a goalie faces. One of the issues I have with Save…
Monthly Archives: May 2013
Round 2 Prediction Updates
Updated playoff odds based on our game prediction model are given in the table below. For those of you unfamiliar with the model, it uses each team’s Fenwick Close, Regressed Shooting Percentage and Regressed Save Percentage to predict single game…
Posted in Predictions
Who To Cheer For in Game 7 and Initial Round 2 Odds
With all but one of the second round matchups fixed, here’s who fans of the teams playing Game 7s tonight should be cheering for, based on our playoff predictor model: Fans of Should Cheer For Odds to win 2nd round…
Posted in Predictions
Save % and Shots Against
I wanted to follow up on my post last week about standard save % and the idea that it could lead to overvaluing goalies who see more shots on average. The chart below shows the total save % for all…
Save % Variance and Updated Predictions
Goaltender Game by Game Save % One of the things I’ve been interested in looking at is the idea of game-by-game goaltender save percentage. One of the problems, in my view, with save percentage as a metric is that it…
(Belated) Playoff Predictions
So now that the playoffs are already one game in, it would seem like a good time to post predictions right? Luckily, none of my predictions look too far off so far, although there’s still lots of time for things…
puck++ 