Blog Archives

How certain do you need to be on an offside challenge?

Offside challenges are, to say the least, a controversial topic. While many have advocated for the benefit of getting the call right even at the cost of a delay in the game, it’s almost indisputable that the introduction of the

Tagged with: ,
Posted in Theoretical

Should teams play with 4 forwards when they’re down late?

This post originally appeared on Hockey Graphs. Tl;dr There is some evidence to suggest that teams should play with 4 forwards when trailing late in a game. The timing of when to switch to 4 forwards is dependent on how

Tagged with: , ,
Posted in Theoretical

Does aggressive play on the penalty kill pay off?

This post originally appeared on Hockey Graphs. Late last week, Arik Parnass pointed out a particular peculiarity about the Ottawa Senators’ penalty killing so far this year. For those that missed segment today on 690, #Sens PK is super interesting.

Tagged with: , , , , ,
Posted in Special Teams, Theoretical

A New Way To Measure Deployment – Expected Faceoff Goal Differential

This article originally appeared on Hockey Graphs. Zone starts are not that great of a metric. Although certain players do tend to be put out almost exclusively for offensive or defensive purposes, the reality is that for most players’ zone starts have

Tagged with: , , , ,
Posted in Deployment, Theoretical

Predicting Save Percentage: Dangers Zones and Shot Volumes

A few days ago, Conor Tompkins of Null Hypothesis Hockey tweeted out an interesting set of graphs showing the correlation between a goalie’s save percentage in each of the War-On-Ice danger zones and their overall success rate. Conor found that

Tagged with: , ,
Posted in Goaltending, Theoretical

Improving Corsi Rel: Adjusting for Team Talent

Corsi Rel is a stat that, in theory at least, is meant to address the fact that a good player on a poor team is still likely to post a bad CF%. We don’t want to punish superstars who are

Tagged with: ,
Posted in Theoretical

Are the Buffalo Sabres worse than an AHL team?

The Buffalo Sabres are not a good hockey team. This is not news to anyone. At 6-13-2 the Sabres sit last in the Atlantic Division by 6 points, and are tied with the Carolina Hurricanes and Edmonton Oilers for least

Tagged with: , ,
Posted in Theoretical