Blog Archives

Should teams pull their goalie on the power play?

This post originally appeared on Hockey Graphs. The NHL is in the middle of a goalie pulling frenzy. While the year is still young, coaches of teams who are losing by a goal have been pulling their goalie roughly around

Tagged with: , ,
Posted in Team Strategy, Uncategorized

Shift Ends and Shot Rates

Yesterday, Tyler Dellow had an interesting post over at The Athletic (paywall) examining why not all ice-time against opponents is created equally. By drilling down on how the Leafs’ defensive units fared against various levels of competition last year, Tyler was

Tagged with: , ,
Posted in Zone Starts

Women’s Olympic Hockey Predictions

This post originally appeared on Hockey Graphs. It’s the Olympics again, which means it’s time for everyone’s favorite activity: watching Canada underperform at ice-hockey! And while Hilary Knight breaking the hearts of Canadians is fun for everybody, the only thing

Tagged with: , ,
Posted in Predictions, Uncategorized

Optimal Contract Structuring: “Taking It To The Logical Conclusion”

Last February I was fortunate enough to attend the Sloan Sports Analytics Conference (mostly due to the excellent work of the ever-amazing Ryan Stimson). One of the marquee events was a panel titled “Moneymind: Overcoming Cognitive Bias“, which featured 4

Tagged with: , , ,
Posted in Salary Cap

The Time Value of Money and Player Valuation

One of the weird but infrequently mentioned quirks of salary negotiations in the NHL is the competing interests of players and owners with regards to how the actual salary payments should be structured. While analysts tend to focus on the

Tagged with: , ,
Posted in Salary Cap

Game Theory and Defending Against a 2-on-1

Last night, Jake Gardiner made a bad decision. Faced with a 2-on-1 in a tie game midway through the 2nd period, Gardiner made what seemed like the smart choice – he played the pass, leaving Curtis McElhinney to deal with

Tagged with: , , , ,
Posted in Game Theory

Quick Thoughts: 4-Forward Power Plays and Protecting A Lead

The other day I tweeted out a bunch of stuff about why teams may want to avoid a 4-forward power play when they’re up late. I’m not going to bother turning this into a full post, but I’ve linked the

Tagged with: , ,
Posted in Powerplay