Blog Archives

Score Adjusted Weighted Shots

Last week, Tom Tango, Sabermetrician extraordinaire for the Chicago Cubs (and one of the original hockey analysts to, you know, actually make money doing this thing), posted an article on his site proposing a new metric to better weight the

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Posted in Statistics

Shot Location Data and Strategy II: Evaluating Individual Defensive Play

This is the second post in a (likely) 3 part series going through the data/methods/results which I presented at the Pittsburgh Hockey Analytics Workshop. Part I, which covers whether defencemen play worse on their off-hand, is available here. If you’re

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Posted in Defence, Statistics

Context Neutral Player Evaluation: Examining Defence and Calculating xGD20

A few months ago I wrote about xGF20, my attempt to isolate a player’s offensive ability from his teammates abilities and the luck involved in shooting percentages in small samples. At its core, xGF20 is based on 3 reasonably repeatable

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Posted in Statistics

Adjusting Save Percentage for Team Effects

As anyone who’s looked at evaluating goalies before knows it’s not a pleasant task. Even ignoring the inherent extreme variability in game to game or year to year statistics, a goaltender’s numbers can be heavily influenced by the 5 skaters in

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Posted in Goaltending, Statistics

Introducing xGF20: A Context Neutral, Corsi-Based Goal Creation Metric

If you follow the hockey analytics world at all (and since you’re reading this, I’m assuming you do), you likely have a pretty good understanding of, and appreciation for, Corsi. Analysts like to use Corsi because it’s a better predictor

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Posted in Statistics

Breaking Down Corsi: Looking Into Shot Blocks and Misses

The willingness to block shots is one that’s often touted by the media as being the difference between winning and losing. Players who put their bodies on the line are held in the highest regard and with good reason: Fenwick,

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Posted in Statistics