Blog Archives

A Defense of WAR from a WAR-Skeptic

This post originally appeared on Hockey Graphs. Note: This was originally intended to be a tweet-thread which grew far too long and unmanageable, so you’re getting a poorly-written post instead. Apologies in advance. Recently, David Johnson, owner of the awesome

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Posted in WAR

Second Units and Zone Entries: Why teams should go all-in on the 4 forward power play

Using 4 forwards on the power play is generally a good strategy. Four forward units take more shots, score more often on those shots, and post a better goal differential than 3 forward groups do. It’s also a strategy that

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Posted in Powerplay, Uncategorized

Measuring the Importance of Structure on the Power Play

This post originally appeared on Hockey Graphs. tl;dr We can measure a team’s power play structure using shot location data, creating a Power Play Structure Index that quantifies their ability to establish and shoot from a structured formation. A Team’s

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Posted in Powerplay, Special Teams

Quick Post: Do Past Sv% Variables Predict Future Sv% Variables?

This post originally appeared on Hockey Graphs. The usefulness of on-ice save percentage (and derivative metrics such as Sv% Rel and Sv% RelTM) has been the source of many, many heated debates in the analytics blogosphere. While many analysts point

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Posted in Goaltending

Does aggressive play on the penalty kill pay off?

This post originally appeared on Hockey Graphs. Late last week, Arik Parnass pointed out a particular peculiarity about the Ottawa Senators’ penalty killing so far this year. For those that missed segment today on 690, #Sens PK is super interesting.

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Posted in Special Teams, Theoretical

Predicting Which Players Will Succeed on the Powerplay

This post originally appeared on Hockey Graphs. Alexander Semin did not have a good season last year. After producing decent numbers in his first two seasons in Carolina, with 35 goals and 51 assists in 109 games, Semin struggled in

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Posted in Powerplay, Special Teams

Sbisa, the Sens, and the Scramble: Evaluating Defensive Play Following a Shot Attempt

This post originally appeared on Hockey Graphs. Luca Sbisa may be one of the players who best epitomizes the divide between the old-school, eye test view on hockey and the statistics-focussed analysts offering their opinions from their mother’s basements on fan

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Posted in Defence

How can we measure a goalie’s rebound control? Examining Pekka Rinne and James Reimer.

This post originally appeared on Hockey Graphs. Pekka Rinne is good at controlling his rebounds. I know this, because people on the internet have made their opinions abundantly clear. Scouts and fanalysts alike credit Rinne’s quick glove hand with helping

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Posted in Goaltending

A New Way To Measure Deployment – Expected Faceoff Goal Differential

This article originally appeared on Hockey Graphs. Zone starts are not that great of a metric. Although certain players do tend to be put out almost exclusively for offensive or defensive purposes, the reality is that for most players’ zone starts have

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Posted in Deployment, Theoretical

Why teams should use 4 forwards on the powerplay

A few days ago, James Mirtle of the Globe and Mail brought up one of the first significant shifts in tactics under the Mike Babcock regime in Toronto. Parenteau playing as fourth forward on Leafs PP and scores. New look

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Posted in Powerplay, Special Teams