Blog Archives

Quick Thoughts: On Drafting Goalies

A few days before the draft this year, I tweeted out a few ideas I had on the “Should you draft goalies early?” debate. In the interest of not losing these thoughts (and to avoid having to do any actual

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Posted in Draft, Goaltending

How can we measure a goalie’s rebound control? Examining Pekka Rinne and James Reimer.

This post originally appeared on Hockey Graphs. Pekka Rinne is good at controlling his rebounds. I know this, because people on the internet have made their opinions abundantly clear. Scouts and fanalysts alike credit Rinne’s quick glove hand with helping

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Posted in Goaltending

Predicting Save Percentage: Dangers Zones and Shot Volumes

A few days ago, Conor Tompkins of Null Hypothesis Hockey tweeted out an interesting set of graphs showing the correlation between a goalie’s save percentage in each of the War-On-Ice danger zones and their overall success rate. Conor found that

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Posted in Goaltending, Theoretical

Is Jonathan Quick Overrated? Shot counting bias and save percentages

Travis Yost, TSNs newest hockey analytics writer, recently posted a piece outlining his most overrated and underrated players from a fancy stats point of view (related note, Travis’ piece on Nathan Mackinnon is a must read, provided they actually fix

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Posted in Goaltending

What’s a goalie worth these days? Determining replacement level goaltending

The concept of a replacement level player is one of the most important ideas in sports analytics, but one that unfortunately is used relatively infrequently in hockey. Replacement level is meant to represent the level of talent that’s widely available

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Posted in Goaltending

Adjusting Save Percentage for Team Effects

As anyone who’s looked at evaluating goalies before knows it’s not a pleasant task. Even ignoring the inherent extreme variability in game to game or year to year statistics, a goaltender’s numbers can be heavily influenced by the 5 skaters in

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Posted in Goaltending, Statistics

Examining Rebound Control

Earlier this week, Rob Pettapiece had an interesting article over at NHL Numbers on rebound control, where he looked at the percentage of shots a goaltender faced that resulted in a rebound (which he defined as a shot within the

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Posted in Goaltending