Blog Archives

Improving Corsi Rel: Adjusting for Team Talent

Corsi Rel is a stat that, in theory at least, is meant to address the fact that a good player on a poor team is still likely to post a bad CF%. We don’t want to punish superstars who are

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Posted in Theoretical

How much do zone starts matter part II: A lot on their own, not that much in aggregate

In Part I of our review of zone starts, we looked at the how the traditional definition of zone starts varied from what most people would consider a “true” zone start, and found that when we applied the true zone

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Posted in Zone Starts

How much do zone starts matter part I: (Maybe) not as much as we thought

In 2013-2014 Boyd Gordon and Manny Malholtra were two of the worst players in raw CF% across the league at 42.3% and 41.6% respectively. Most people would argue that their results were not all that surprising given that they faced

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Posted in Zone Starts

Hockey Prospectus: Whose special teams are really special this year?

Today on Hockey Prospectus I’ve got an article up looking at how each team’s special teams units have performed against expectations this year. Take a look at it here.

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Posted in Hockey Prospectus

Hockey Prospectus: Randy Carlyle’s Effect on Puck Possession and Scoring Chances

I’ve got an article up over at Hockey Prospectus on Randy Carlyle and his effect on puck possession and scoring chances. Hint: it wasn’t pretty. If you’re interested, you can read it here.

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Posted in Hockey Prospectus

2015 World Junior Prediction Update – December 27th

Updated Predictions Day 1 of the World Juniors is in the books and while there weren’t any upsets, two medal favourites nearly stumbled out of the gate with both Russia and the US needing the shoot-out to get past Denmark

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Posted in Predictions, Uncategorized, World Juniors

2015 World Junior Predictions

It’s finally here, the most important day of the year in Canada, World Junior Hockey Day! While the tournament may not have the same appeal in other areas of the World (or any appeal, in some cases), for Canadians the

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Posted in Predictions, World Juniors

How much skill exists in on-ice shooting percentages?

Earlier today, Phil Birnbaum posted a piece offering further arguments in favour of his view that shot quality exists and is a legitimate strategy choice for teams.  For those of you unfamiliar with Phil’s work, he’s long been a proponent

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Posted in Shooting Percentage

Score Adjusted Weighted Shots

Last week, Tom Tango, Sabermetrician extraordinaire for the Chicago Cubs (and one of the original hockey analysts to, you know, actually make money doing this thing), posted an article on his site proposing a new metric to better weight the

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Posted in Statistics

Are the Buffalo Sabres worse than an AHL team?

The Buffalo Sabres are not a good hockey team. This is not news to anyone. At 6-13-2 the Sabres sit last in the Atlantic Division by 6 points, and are tied with the Carolina Hurricanes and Edmonton Oilers for least

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Posted in Theoretical