Blog Archives

Historical Player Projections – Available Now at Dobber Hockey

Over the last few years, Hockey Analytics pioneer Rob Vollman has been putting out a book of scoring projections using historically comparable players to calculate a player’s best case/worst case/average scoring totals. His method is really interesting and yields a lot of great

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Posted in Fantasy Hockey, Predictions

Examining The Drivers of Score Effects I: Shooting and Save Percentage

Score effects – they’re real, and they’re spectacular. And while the idea and impact of score effects are generally understood by most in the hockey analytics community, they can often be a difficult subject to introduce to newcomers to the

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Posted in Score Effects

Predicting Free Agent Salaries

With the NHL draft behind us, attention across the hockey world has turned to July 1st, when unrestricted free agents will be free to sign with the team that will give them the best shot at winning a cup the

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Posted in Free Agency, Predictions

Puck++ Playoff Prediction Challenge – Round 2 Results

With round 2 of the playoffs wrapped up and a few days of rest penciled into the schedule, there’s no better time to check in on how the entrants in the Puck++ Playoff Prediction Challenge are doing. As a reminder

Posted in Predictions

Puck++ Playoff Prediction Challenge – Round 1 Results

With round 1 wrapped up and the division finals now underway, it’s time to take a look at how the entrants in the first ever Puck++ Playoff Prediction Challenge performed. The table below has each entrants total score (using the

Posted in Playoffs

2015 Playoff Predictions

After three seemingly never ending nights without hockey, the playoffs are finally upon us, with the Habs and Sens, and Caps and Isles set to kick off the postseason tonight at 7. As in years past I’m going to be

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Posted in Predictions

Puck++ Playoff Prediction Challenge

Do you like the playoffs? Do you like predicting things? And do you think the NHL’s claim that SAP has a guy who can get 85% of playoff series right is a bit unbelievable? Then do we here at Puck++ have

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Posted in Playoffs

Predicting Save Percentage: Dangers Zones and Shot Volumes

A few days ago, Conor Tompkins of Null Hypothesis Hockey tweeted out an interesting set of graphs showing the correlation between a goalie’s save percentage in each of the War-On-Ice danger zones and their overall success rate. Conor found that

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Posted in Goaltending, Theoretical

Calculating Replacement Level for Faceoff Win Percentage

The idea of the replacement level player is one of the most important concepts in sports analytics. While not strictly necessary to do any basic player comparisons, the value of the replacement level lies in providing a baseline below which

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Posted in Faceoffs

Hockey Prospectus – Player Level Weighted Shots

Over at Hockey Prospectus I’ve got an article up on calculating Weighted Shots (or, more specifically, Score Adjusted Weighted Shots) at the individual player level. Give it a read, here. The article expands on my presentation at the Ottawa Hockey Analytics Conference, which

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Posted in Hockey Prospectus