Blog Archives

Shot Location Data and Strategy II: Evaluating Individual Defensive Play

This is the second post in a (likely) 3 part series going through the data/methods/results which I presented at the Pittsburgh Hockey Analytics Workshop. Part I, which covers whether defencemen play worse on their off-hand, is available here. If you’re

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Posted in Defence, Statistics

Shot Location Data and Strategy I: Off-Hand Defencemen

This is the first post in a (likely) 3 part series going through the data/methods/results which I presented at the Pittsburgh Hockey Analytics Workshop. If you’re interested in seeing the slides or hearing the presentation (or the other presentations, which

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Posted in Defence, Team Strategy

Numbered Days: November 2nd

Numbered Days is a weekly feature looking back at the statistical week that was in the NHL. Raw data was extracted from War On Ice, Natural Stat Trick and Hockey Reference.   Sunday, October 26: The Winnipeg Jets put only 28 of their 82 shot

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Posted in Numbered Days

Numbered Days: October 26th

Numbered Days is a weekly feature looking back at the statistical week that was in the NHL. Raw data was extracted from War On Ice, Natural Stat Trick and Hockey Reference. Sunday, October 19: The LA Kings post a sub-40% 5v5 Corsi for the 2nd

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Posted in Numbered Days

Numbered Days: October 19th

Numbered Days is a new (and hopefully recurring) weekly feature looking back at the statistical week that was in the NHL. Raw data was extracted from War On Ice, Natural Stat Trick and Hockey Reference. Sunday, October 12: Jets goalies post an 0.840 even-strength save percentage

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Posted in Numbered Days

2014-2015 Season Predictions

Hockey is almost back! Hurray! With the pointlessness of the preseason finally behind us, and with the start of the real games less than 24 hours away, I thought I’d throw my hat into the ring and offer my best

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Posted in Predictions

Is Jonathan Quick Overrated? Shot counting bias and save percentages

Travis Yost, TSNs newest hockey analytics writer, recently posted a piece outlining his most overrated and underrated players from a fancy stats point of view (related note, Travis’ piece on Nathan Mackinnon is a must read, provided they actually fix

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Posted in Goaltending

Player Comparison Tool/Salary Generator

Every NHL contract negotiation will always feature at least 2 common events: 1) reporters listing off subjectively-determined comparable players to peg a player to a given salary (“He’s going to be looking for Andrew MacDonald money”); and 2) fans picking-and-choosing

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Posted in Free Agency, Predictions

When should teams attempt to block shots? Looking at the break-even success rate for shot-blocking

The 2013-2014 season was a painful one for Ottawa Senators fans. After reaching the playoffs in both of the previous two seasons, many analysts predicted that the Sens were on the verge of breaking through into the league’s elite. Instead,

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Posted in Theoretical

What’s a goalie worth these days? Determining replacement level goaltending

The concept of a replacement level player is one of the most important ideas in sports analytics, but one that unfortunately is used relatively infrequently in hockey. Replacement level is meant to represent the level of talent that’s widely available

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Posted in Goaltending